Chart of the Day (CotD) Canada Provisional Weekly Deaths, by Eldric Vero

This CotD was inspired by two recent articles:

1)      The Globe and Mail “More people than expected are dying in Canada in 2023 for reasons that are not yet clear ” (see link: https://www.theglobeandmail.com/canada/article-excess-deaths-covid-canada/ ).   From the article: Kim McGrail, a professor at the University of British Columbia’s Centre for Health Services and Policy Research, said she thinks of excess mortality as “an indication that there’s something happening that’s worth investigating,” but it doesn’t indicate what is actually happening or what to do about it.  Statistics Canada explained it uses a statistical model to estimate weekly expected deaths based on mortality trends from 2015-19 while considering changes in age, sex and total population.  Moreover, whatever is causing it, excess mortality is something the country should pay attention to, she said. “Because clearly there are a lot of people dying that wouldn’t normally have.”

2)      Statistics Canada The Daily “Deaths, 2022” (see link: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/daily-quotidien/231127/dq231127b-eng.htm  ).   From the article: “There were 334,623 deaths in Canada in 2022, an increase of 7.3% from 2021.  For the third year in a row, life expectancy at birth of Canadians fell, from 81.6 years in 2021 to 81.3 years in 2022. Cancer and heart disease remained the two leading causes of death in Canada, accounting for 41.8% of deaths in 2022.  The number of COVID-19 deaths increased from 14,466 in 2021 to 19,716 in 2022, the highest number of such deaths recorded since the beginning of the pandemic.

Panel 1   This is a graphical presentation of Canada’s “Provisional Weekly Death Counts” from 2010 utilizing the Statistics Canada database.  The year 2010 is a baseline starting point for this analysis. This graph is a construct of the author as Statistics Canada does not provide this type of presentation (as far as the author is aware).  In terms of statistical and mathematical terms, this graph is not only unique, but perfect in the sense that the “best fit” polynomial curve to the data matches 100 percent to the data as revealed by R2=1.  Also, the data curve is trending upward which essentially reveals the deaths are accelerating over time.  It appears something abnormal is occurring to Canadian citizens.

Panel 2  The following table presents the Cause of Death categories as per Statistics Canada : https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/t1/tbl1/en/cv.action?pid=1310081001. Utilizing data within the Statistics Canada website, a summary table was created depicting two recent periods for comparison purposes (March 15, 2020 to December 31, 2022 and January 1 to September 9, 2023).  The majority of the categories have been in the database for many years (since 2010) with the exception of two recent categories, namely, “COVID-19” and “Information Unavailable”.  The “Information Unavailable” (InfoUn) category had no data (i.e. deaths) prior to January 1, 2020.  For the period March 15, 2020 to December 31, 2022, the InfoUn category averaged about 63 deaths per week, which is unusual in itself, as medical doctors, examiners and coroners are required to define a Cause of Death.   Note the eye-popping change to InfoUn deaths to 2,923 per week (4,532 percent increase) during 2023 from the previous period.  Also note the negative Percent Change to essentially all of the categories to offset the massive positive change in InfoUn deaths.  The question being is “why is this occurring?”

Panel 3   These are the top three causes of death as per Statistics Canada (note the slope change in 2023).

Panel 4   These are the next most common causes of death (again, note the slope change in 2023).

Panel 5   This group of five death causes accounts for about 8 percent of the total. Again, note the slope change in 2023.

Panel 6   The author of the CotD was shocked by this dataset presentation as it relates to “Information Unavailable” deaths.  Based on Statistics Canada, InfoUn deaths in 2023 are the cause for over 47 percent of all deaths in Canada which is absolutely outrageous to say the least.  Note the InfoUn death category was initiated in early 2020 (coincidentally at the start of the pandemic).  Is this one of the smoking guns?

“The truth hurts, but silence kills” Mark Twain

Opus the Penguin and Bill the Cat (created by Berkeley Breathed)